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Leicester Property and investment Guide

Leicester Property Investment Guide: Opportunities and Outlook for 2025 and Beyond

Introduction

Leicester, a vibrant city in the East Midlands of England, has emerged as an increasingly attractive destination for property investors. As we look towards 2025 and beyond, the city’s property market offers a compelling narrative of growth, opportunity, and resilience. This comprehensive guide delves into the myriad factors shaping Leicester’s property landscape, from economic drivers to demographic shifts, and highlights the most promising investment opportunities on the horizon.

Economic Landscape: The Foundation of Growth

Leicester’s property market is underpinned by a diverse and evolving economy that has shown remarkable resilience in the face of global challenges. The city’s economic output remains strong, driven by its status as a hub for manufacturing, education, and innovation.

Key Economic Indicators

  1. Employment Rates: As of the year ending December 2023, Leicester’s employment rate for individuals aged 16 to 64 was 65.1%, which represents a decrease from the previous year when the rate was 69.7% . This decline contrasts with the broader East Midlands region, where the employment rate slightly increased from 75.2% to 75.5% over the same period.
  2. Unemployment: The unemployment rate in Leicester has risen from 4.4% in the year ending December 2022 to 6.7% in the year ending December 2023 . This increase is more pronounced than the regional trend in the East Midlands, where the unemployment rate rose from 2.9% to 3.7% during the same period
  3. Economic Inactivity: Economic inactivity in Leicester has increased to 28.1% of the population aged 16 to 64 in the year ending December 2023, up from 26.7% the previous year This rate is higher than both the East Midlands (21.6%) and the national average in Great Britain (21.2%).

Major Industries

Leicester’s economy is diversified across several key industries:

  1. Manufacturing: The largest broad sector in terms of employment, with a strong presence in food processing, machinery, and electronics. 
  2. Creative Industries: Leicester boasts the second-largest cluster of design agencies in the UK, contributing significantly to its economic fabric. 
  3. Education: The presence of major universities, including the University of Leicester and De Montfort University, plays a crucial role in the local economy.
  4. Healthcare: Several hospitals and medical centers provide significant employment and services.
  5. Technology and Innovation: Growing sectors supported by initiatives to foster start-up’s and tech companies.

Economic Projections for 2025 and Beyond

While specific projections for Leicester’s economy in 2025 and beyond are limited, general economic trends can be inferred from broader UK economic forecasts. The national economy is expected to experience moderate growth, with potential challenges such as inflation and interest rate adjustments impacting various sectors.

The UK’s industrial strategy, as outlined in the “Invest 2035” plan, aims to drive growth by focusing on high-potential sectors such as advanced manufacturing, clean energy, and digital technologies. This strategy could potentially benefit Leicester by fostering an environment conducive to investment and job creation in these sectors 

Demographic Trends: Driving Demand

Understanding the demographic landscape is crucial for property investors, as population trends directly impact housing demand and rental markets. Leicester presents a compelling demographic picture that bodes well for property investment.

Population Growth and Composition

  • Leicester experienced significant population growth of 11.7% between the 2011 and 2021 censuses, growing from around 329,800 to 368,600 . This growth rate is notably higher than the overall population increase for England, which was 6.6% during the same period. 
  • The median age in Leicester has risen slightly, from 31 years in 2011 to 33 years in 2021, indicating a gradual aging of the population . Despite this increase, Leicester still has a relatively young population compared to the national average, with the median age in England being 40 years.
  • The number of residents aged 35 to 49 years increased by 18.0%, while the number of children aged 4 years and under decreased by 8.2%. 

Migration Patterns

Leicester has seen both domestic and international migration, contributing to its population growth. The city’s universities attract a significant student base, ensuring a steady influx of young people. However, specific migration patterns, such as the origins of migrants or the net migration rate, are not detailed in the provided sources.

Property Market Trends and Predictions

As we look towards 2025 and beyond, several key trends are shaping Leicester’s property market:

Price Growth

  • As of October 2024, the average house price in Leicester was £237,000, marking a 2.9% increase from £230,000 in October 2023 This growth is part of a broader trend where property prices in Leicester have been rising steadily over the years. 
  • Between March 2022 and March 2023, property prices in Leicester grew by 5.1%, with an average annual growth rate of 5.8% from 2014 to 2023. 

Property Type Analysis

  • Detached Houses: The average price for detached properties in Leicester was £402,000 as of October 2024, showing a modest increase of 1.5% over the past year. 
  • Semi-Detached Houses: These properties saw a 3.2% increase in average price to £269,000 in October 2024. 
  • Terraced Houses: The average price for terraced houses was £212,000 in October 2024.
  • Flats and Maisonettes: Flats have seen the least growth, with prices reaching an average of £165,000 in October 2024. 

Rental Market Strength

The rental market in Leicester has shown significant strength, with average monthly private rents increasing substantially:

  • The average monthly rent in Leicester increased by 12.0% from November 2023 to November 2024, reaching £958. 
  • Rental prices by property type:
    • Flats and Maisonettes: £748
    • Terraced Properties: £941
    • Semi-Detached Properties: £1,007
    • Detached Properties: £1,284

Yield Performance

Leicester offers attractive rental yields, particularly in certain hotspots. The city’s average rental yield stands at around 4.19%, with some areas offering even higher returns. For instance:

  • The LE1 postcode, which is central and popular among younger renters, offers an average rental yield of 7.2%.
  • Other areas like LE3 and LE4 provide competitive yields of around 5.0% and 4.6%, respectively.

Investment Hotspots: Areas to Watch

Several areas in Leicester stand out as particularly promising for property investment:

  1. City Centre (LE1): The heart of Leicester is undergoing significant regeneration, with plans to build up to 3,000 new flats as part of a £500 million five-year plan. This development is expected to increase the demand for city living, offering investors a potential yield of around 7.2% in the LE1 postcode area. 
  2. Western Suburbs (LE3): Areas like Glenfield, Thorpe Astley, and Braunstone are appealing due to their proximity to the M1 motorway and large business parks. These areas are particularly attractive to families, offering a yield of approximately 5% in the LE3 postcode.
  3. Southern Suburbs: South Leicester, including Clarendon Park, Knighton, and Stoneygate, is popular among professionals and students. These areas are known for their smart residential districts and proximity to the University of Leicester and De Montfort University. 
  4. North and North East Leicester (LE4): This region offers a mix of property types, from affordable to high-end, catering to various investor budgets. Areas like Beaumont Leys and Thurmaston provide mid-priced residential options, while Groby and Anstey offer village-like settings with excellent city access. Investors can expect yields of around 4.6% in these areas. 
  5. Leicester Waterside: This major regeneration project aims to transform a neglected industrial site into a vibrant neighbourhood. The project is expected to enhance the area’s appeal, making it a promising investment opportunity. 
  6. Belgrave and West Knighton: These neighbourhood’s are witnessing regeneration projects, positioning them as exciting prospects for future investment. Belgrave, known for its cultural vibrancy, and West Knighton, with its residential appeal, are both gaining attention from investors. 

Major Development Projects and Infrastructure Improvements

Leicester is undergoing significant transformation through various development projects and infrastructure improvements, which are expected to boost the local economy and property values:

  1. MIRA Technology Park (MTP) Development: A £300 million masterplan, including a recent £6.25 million investment in gateway infrastructure, is set to create hundreds of new jobs and unlock further development sites. 
  2. Great Central Square Development: This mixed-use development project, completed in October 2019, transformed the site of the former Great Central Railway Station in Leicester city centre, including two hotels, Grade-A office space, and public realm improvements. 
  3. Leicester’s Strategic Economic Plan: This plan outlines various infrastructure improvements necessary to support major growth, including significant highway infrastructure enhancements to unlock and accelerate development.
  4. Transport and Highway Enhancements: The Leicester North-West Major Transport Scheme, with a budget of £1.95 million, aims to improve transport infrastructure and enhance connectivity. 
  5. Cycling and Walking Infrastructure: The South Leicester Area Cycling and Walking Infrastructure Plan is part of a broader initiative to improve sustainable transport options.

Challenges and Considerations for Investors

While Leicester offers significant opportunities, investors should be aware of potential challenges:

  1. Economic Uncertainty: The broader economic environment, including inflation and potential recessions, can affect property values and rental yields. 
  2. Legislative and Regulatory Changes: Recent changes in taxation, such as the increase in Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT) for landlords, have raised concerns about shrinking profit margins. 
  3. Market Volatility: The UK property market is susceptible to fluctuations influenced by economic conditions, geopolitical events, and regulatory changes. 
  4. Tenant Risks: Rental properties are subject to tenant-related risks, such as rental arrears and property damage. Tenant turnover can lead to periods of vacancy, resulting in lost rental income. 
  5. Interest Rate Risk: Changes in interest rates can affect mortgage costs and borrowing expenses. Rising rates may increase mortgage repayments, reducing cash flow and profitability for leveraged properties. 

Conclusion: Leicester as a Prime Investment Destination

Leicester’s property market in 2025 and beyond presents a landscape of both challenges and opportunities. While facing some economic uncertainties and housing challenges, the city’s strong economic fundamentals, ongoing development projects, and thriving rental market offer significant potential for savvy investors.

Key factors to consider include:

  • The projected steady price growth and strong rental market performance.
  • Emerging hotspots like the City Centre, Western Suburbs, and Leicester Waterside, which offer potential for significant capital appreciation and attractive rental yields.
  • The impact of major development projects and infrastructure improvements, which are likely to enhance the city’s appeal and drive property values.
  • The city’s diverse economic base and strategic location, which contribute to its resilience and growth potential.

Investors should approach the Leicester property market with a long-term perspective, considering both the immediate returns and the potential for future growth. By carefully selecting properties in areas with strong fundamentals and aligning investments with emerging trends, investors can position themselves to benefit from Leicester’s dynamic and resilient property market.

For those looking to invest in Leicester’s property market, staying informed about market trends, economic indicators, and regulatory changes is crucial. Consider consulting with local property experts and financial advisors to tailor your investment strategy to your specific goals and risk tolerance.

External Links for Further Reading

  1. RWinvest Guide on Leicester City Buy to Let
  2. OnTheMarket – Leicester Properties

 

These resources provide additional insights into Leicester’s economic landscape, property market trends, and investment opportunities, helping investors make informed decisions in this dynamic city